How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cjarlins Muzane, at 68.6%. The other outcomes represent 31.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.6% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cjarlins Muzane 1593; Virtus Bolzano 1389. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone C · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 14:00
Cjarlins Muzane
Elo 1593
3
-
2
Virtus Bolzano
Elo 1389
FT
HT 2-2
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+204
Elo rating comparison
Cjarlins Muzane1593
Virtus Bolzano1389
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Cjarlins Muzane
—Draws
—Virtus Bolzano
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
CORRECT
Home
69%
Draw
22%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
52%
Draw
36%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.