How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Reggina, at 55.5%. The other outcomes represent 44.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.7% · Draw: 23.9% · Away win: 55.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: CastrumFavara 1456; Reggina 1736. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone I · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 13:30
CastrumFavara
Elo 1456
2
-
2
Reggina
Elo 1736
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-281
Elo rating comparison
CastrumFavara1456
Reggina1736
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—CastrumFavara
—Draws
—Reggina
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
24%
Away
55%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
40%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.