How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sambiase, at 39.2%. The other outcomes represent 60.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.2% · Draw: 35.8% · Away win: 25%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sambiase 1596; Nissa 1601. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone I · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:30
Sambiase
Elo 1596
1
-
0
Nissa
Elo 1601
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
-5
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Sambiase1596
Nissa1601
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sambiase
2Draws
0Nissa
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
Draw
36%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
43%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.