How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Digiesse PraiaTortora, at 61.8%. The other outcomes represent 38.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.8% · Draw: 21.4% · Away win: 16.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Digiesse PraiaTortora 1529; Vigor Lamezia 1501. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone I · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:30
Digiesse PraiaTortora
Elo 1529
1
-
0
Vigor Lamezia
Elo 1501
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+28
Elo rating comparison
Digiesse PraiaTortora1529
Vigor Lamezia1501
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Digiesse PraiaTortora
—Draws
—Vigor Lamezia
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
38%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.