How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Teramo, at 51.6%. The other outcomes represent 48.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.3% · Draw: 27.1% · Away win: 51.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fossombrone 1470; Teramo 1718. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone F · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:30
Fossombrone
Elo 1470
2
-
4
Teramo
Elo 1718
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-248
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Fossombrone1470
Teramo1718
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Fossombrone
0Draws
1Teramo
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
Draw
27%
Away
52%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
20%
Draw
35%
Away
45%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.