How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Unipomezia, at 40.0%. The other outcomes represent 60.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.2% · Draw: 26.7% · Away win: 40%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Albalonga 1488; Unipomezia 1506. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone G · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 14:00
Albalonga
Elo 1488
1
-
1
Unipomezia
Elo 1506
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
-18
Elo rating comparison
Albalonga1488
Unipomezia1506
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Albalonga
—Draws
—Unipomezia
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
27%
Away
40%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
38%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.