How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Karlberg, at 38.7%. The other outcomes represent 61.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.7% · Draw: 23.9% · Away win: 37.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Karlberg 1677; Umeå FC 1679. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ettan - Norra · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 14:00
Karlberg
Elo 1677
1
-
1
Umeå FC
Elo 1679
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-2
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Karlberg1677
Umeå FC1679
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Karlberg
0Draws
2Umeå FC
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
24%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
Draw
40%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.