How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Astana, at 66.1%. The other outcomes represent 33.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 66.1% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 10.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Astana 1874; Kaisar 1608. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 14:00
FC Astana
Elo 1874
0
-
0
Kaisar
Elo 1608
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+266
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
FC Astana1874
Kaisar1608
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0FC Astana
2Draws
0Kaisar
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
WRONG
Home
66%
Draw
23%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
38%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.