How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Luki-Energiya, at 42.5%. The other outcomes represent 57.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.8% · Draw: 24.7% · Away win: 42.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cherepovets 1408; Luki-Energiya 1531. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League - Group 2 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 11:00
Cherepovets
Elo 1408
1
-
0
Luki-Energiya
Elo 1531
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-124
H2H (6)
0H
0D
6A
Elo rating comparison
Cherepovets1408
Luki-Energiya1531
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Cherepovets
0Draws
6Luki-Energiya
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
25%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
24%
Draw
43%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.