How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sint-Truiden II, at 53.7%. The other outcomes represent 46.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.7% · Draw: 21.6% · Away win: 24.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sint-Truiden II 1590; Tongeren 1513. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 7–5. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second Amateur Division - VFV B · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 14:00
Sint-Truiden II
Elo 1590
7
-
5
Tongeren
Elo 1513
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+77
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Sint-Truiden II1590
Tongeren1513
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Sint-Truiden II
0Draws
0Tongeren
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
54%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
35%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.