How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Olympiakos Piraeus, at 69.3%. The other outcomes represent 30.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 69.3% · Draw: 19.6% · Away win: 11.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Olympiakos Piraeus 2112; Kalamata 1959. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League 1 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 14:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
Elo 2112
5
-
0
Kalamata
Elo 1959
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
+153
Elo rating comparison
Olympiakos Piraeus2112
Kalamata1959
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Olympiakos Piraeus
—Draws
—Kalamata
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
CORRECT
Home
69%
@ 1.14
Draw
20%
@ 6.95
Away
11%
@ 18.58
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
@ 1.02
No
7%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
@ 1.51
Draw
30%
@ 2.83
Away
13%
@ 12.69
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
@ 1.25
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.15
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.55
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
@ 1.58
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.