How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Prisons XI, at 40.6%. The other outcomes represent 59.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.6% · Draw: 23.5% · Away win: 35.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Prisons XI 1371; Matebele 1482. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 14:00
Prisons XI
Elo 1371
1
-
1
Matebele
Elo 1482
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-112
Elo rating comparison
Prisons XI1371
Matebele1482
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Prisons XI
—Draws
—Matebele
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
24%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
42%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.