How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Chabab Ben Guerir, at 60.5%. The other outcomes represent 39.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 60.5% · Draw: 25.1% · Away win: 14.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Chabab Ben Guerir 1469; Chabab Mohammédia 1321. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Botola 2 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 15:00
Chabab Ben Guerir
Elo 1469
2
-
0
Chabab Mohammédia
Elo 1321
FT
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+147
H2H (4)
2H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Chabab Ben Guerir1469
Chabab Mohammédia1321
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Chabab Ben Guerir
2Draws
0Chabab Mohammédia
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
61%
Draw
25%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
49%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.