How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Olympique Khouribga, at 47.4%. The other outcomes represent 52.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.4% · Draw: 30.8% · Away win: 21.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Olympique Khouribga 1426; Stade Marocain 1461. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Botola 2 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 17:00
Olympique Khouribga
Elo 1426
1
-
1
Stade Marocain
Elo 1461
FT
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-35
Elo rating comparison
Olympique Khouribga1426
Stade Marocain1461
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Olympique Khouribga
—Draws
—Stade Marocain
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
31%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
45%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.