How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tallinna Kalev II, at 38.6%. The other outcomes represent 61.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.6% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 37.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tallinna Kalev II 1416; Luunja 1433. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Esiliiga B · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 14:30
Tallinna Kalev II
Elo 1416
2
-
3
Luunja
Elo 1433
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-16
H2H (6)
0H
0D
6A
Elo rating comparison
Tallinna Kalev II1416
Luunja1433
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Tallinna Kalev II
0Draws
6Luunja
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
24%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
39%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.