Kassel vs Hummetroth

Oberliga - Hessen · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 · 13:30

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kassel, at 49.3%. The other outcomes represent 50.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 49.3% · Draw: 24.2% · Away win: 26.4%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Kassel 1515; Hummetroth 1467. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Oberliga - Hessen · Sunday, Oct 25 2026 · 13:30
Kassel
Elo 1515
1 - 1
Hummetroth
Elo 1467
FT HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W 2D 3L
Away Form (5)
1W 1D 3L
Elo Advantage
+48
H2H (2)
2H 0D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Kassel1515
Hummetroth1467

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

2Kassel
0Draws
0Hummetroth

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
49% conf. WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
24%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf. CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf. CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf. CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf. CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
50% conf. WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
42% conf. WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
31%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf. CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf. WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf. WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf. CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf. WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf. WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf. CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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