How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is UNA Strassen, at 65.1%. The other outcomes represent 34.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19% · Draw: 15.9% · Away win: 65.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: US Hostert 1588; UNA Strassen 1910. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National Division · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 15:00
US Hostert
Elo 1588
0
-
2
UNA Strassen
Elo 1910
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-322
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
US Hostert1588
UNA Strassen1910
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1US Hostert
0Draws
0UNA Strassen
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
CORRECT
Home
19%
Draw
16%
Away
65%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
22%
Draw
32%
Away
46%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.