How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is US Mondorf-les-bains, at 46.9%. The other outcomes represent 53.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.7% · Draw: 21.4% · Away win: 46.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1777; US Mondorf-les-bains 1840. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National Division · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 15:00
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Elo 1777
6
-
0
US Mondorf-les-bains
Elo 1840
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-62
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Racing FC Union Luxembourg1777
US Mondorf-les-bains1840
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0Draws
0US Mondorf-les-bains
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
21%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
Draw
39%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.