How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Atlético CP, at 40.1%. The other outcomes represent 59.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.8% · Draw: 22.1% · Away win: 40.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Louletano 1665; Atlético CP 1696. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 3 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 15:00
Louletano
Elo 1665
2
-
2
Atlético CP
Elo 1696
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-31
Elo rating comparison
Louletano1665
Atlético CP1696
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Louletano
—Draws
—Atlético CP
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
22%
Away
40%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
42%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.