How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is ASVO, at 60.1%. The other outcomes represent 39.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 60.1% · Draw: 27.6% · Away win: 12.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: ASVO 1600; Djeffa 1386. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championnat National · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 15:00
ASVO
Elo 1600
2
-
1
Djeffa
Elo 1386
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+215
Elo rating comparison
ASVO1600
Djeffa1386
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—ASVO
—Draws
—Djeffa
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
60%
Draw
28%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
49%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.