How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Abia Warriors, at 51.6%. The other outcomes represent 48.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.6% · Draw: 24.4% · Away win: 23.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Abia Warriors 1541; Niger Tornadoes 1533. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NPFL · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 15:00
Abia Warriors
Elo 1541
0
-
1
Niger Tornadoes
Elo 1533
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+8
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Abia Warriors1541
Niger Tornadoes1533
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Abia Warriors
0Draws
0Niger Tornadoes
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
52%
Draw
24%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
44%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.