How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bendel Insurance, at 36.8%. The other outcomes represent 63.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.8% · Draw: 32.3% · Away win: 30.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bendel Insurance 1592; Rivers United 1654. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NPFL · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 15:00
Bendel Insurance
Elo 1592
2
-
1
Rivers United
Elo 1654
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Elo Advantage
-62
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Bendel Insurance1592
Rivers United1654
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Bendel Insurance
0Draws
1Rivers United
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
32%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
34%
Draw
42%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.