How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Carlos A. Mannucci, at 38.5%. The other outcomes represent 61.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.2% · Draw: 28.2% · Away win: 38.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: U. San Martin 1480; Carlos A. Mannucci 1578. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 15:45
U. San Martin
Elo 1480
1
-
2
Carlos A. Mannucci
Elo 1578
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-98
H2H (10)
4H
0D
6A
Elo rating comparison
U. San Martin1480
Carlos A. Mannucci1578
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4U. San Martin
0Draws
6Carlos A. Mannucci
10 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
28%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
40%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.