How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Coquimbo Unido, at 42.5%. The other outcomes represent 57.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 28.1% · Draw: 29.5% · Away win: 42.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nublense 1614; Coquimbo Unido 1755. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 15:30
Nublense
Elo 1614
2
-
1
Coquimbo Unido
Elo 1755
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-140
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Nublense1614
Coquimbo Unido1755
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Nublense
2Draws
0Coquimbo Unido
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
@ 2.91
Draw
29%
@ 3.12
Away
42%
@ 2.35
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.80
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.53
No
47%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
@ 1.34
No
28%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
17%
@ 3.58
Draw
52%
@ 2.09
Away
31%
@ 3.00
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.40
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.30
No
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.