How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Berekum Chelsea, at 39.1%. The other outcomes represent 60.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.1% · Draw: 34.8% · Away win: 26%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Berekum Chelsea 1621; Samartex 1614. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 15:00
Berekum Chelsea
Elo 1621
0
-
0
Samartex
Elo 1614
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+7
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Berekum Chelsea1621
Samartex1614
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Berekum Chelsea
0Draws
2Samartex
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
35%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
46%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.