How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sarpsborg 08 FF, at 47.9%. The other outcomes represent 52.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.9% · Draw: 22.7% · Away win: 29.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1917; Aalesund 1887. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Eliteserien · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 16:00
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Elo 1917
2
-
1
Aalesund
Elo 1887
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+31
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Sarpsborg 08 FF1917
Aalesund1887
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Sarpsborg 08 FF
0Draws
0Aalesund
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
Draw
23%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
39%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.