How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lask Linz, at 39.1%. The other outcomes represent 60.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.1% · Draw: 24.2% · Away win: 36.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lask Linz 2075; Red Bull Salzburg 2066. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Bundesliga · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 16:00
Lask Linz
Elo 2075
1
-
3
Red Bull Salzburg
Elo 2066
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+8
H2H (6)
4H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Lask Linz2075
Red Bull Salzburg2066
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Lask Linz
0Draws
2Red Bull Salzburg
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
@ 2.20
Draw
24%
@ 3.77
Away
37%
@ 2.80
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.40
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
@ 1.41
No
40%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.64
No
39%
Half-Time Result
34% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
@ 2.65
Draw
33%
@ 2.44
Away
34%
@ 3.17
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
@ 1.21
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
@ 1.11
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.44
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.