How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Deportivo Alavés II, at 70.9%. The other outcomes represent 29.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 70.9% · Draw: 17.2% · Away win: 11.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Deportivo Alavés II 1818; Racing Santander II 1681. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 10:30
Deportivo Alavés II
Elo 1818
3
-
3
Racing Santander II
Elo 1681
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+137
Elo rating comparison
Deportivo Alavés II1818
Racing Santander II1681
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Deportivo Alavés II
—Draws
—Racing Santander II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
71% conf.
WRONG
Home
71%
Draw
17%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
36%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.