How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ourense CF, at 53.9%. The other outcomes represent 46.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.9% · Draw: 19.6% · Away win: 26.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ourense CF 1667; Gimnástica Torrelavega 1687. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 16:00
Ourense CF
Elo 1667
3
-
0
Gimnástica Torrelavega
Elo 1687
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
-21
Elo rating comparison
Ourense CF1667
Gimnástica Torrelavega1687
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Ourense CF
—Draws
—Gimnástica Torrelavega
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
54%
Draw
20%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
38%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.