How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Manresa, at 58.2%. The other outcomes represent 41.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58.2% · Draw: 24.5% · Away win: 17.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Manresa 1669; Ebro 1699. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:00
Manresa
Elo 1669
3
-
2
Ebro
Elo 1699
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-30
Elo rating comparison
Manresa1669
Ebro1699
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Manresa
—Draws
—Ebro
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
CORRECT
Home
58%
Draw
24%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
40%
Draw
44%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.