Huétor Vega vs Torre del Mar

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 · 11:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Huétor Vega, at 42.7%. The other outcomes represent 57.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 42.7% · Draw: 26.3% · Away win: 31%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Huétor Vega 1489; Torre del Mar 1533. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026 · 11:00
Huétor Vega
Elo 1489
0 - 0
Torre del Mar
Elo 1533
FT HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W 3D 1L
Away Form (5)
1W 0D 4L
Elo Advantage
-44
H2H (2)
0H 2D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Huétor Vega1489
Torre del Mar1533

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0Huétor Vega
2Draws
0Torre del Mar

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
43% conf. WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
26%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf. WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf. WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf. WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf. CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
59% conf. CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
43% conf. CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
43%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf. CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf. WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf. CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf. WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf. WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf. CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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