How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ciudad de Torredonjimeno, at 75.0%. The other outcomes represent 25.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 75% · Draw: 16.4% · Away win: 8.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 1511; Malaga City 1297. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 16:30
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Elo 1511
4
-
1
Malaga City
Elo 1297
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+213
Elo rating comparison
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1511
Malaga City1297
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
—Draws
—Malaga City
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
75% conf.
CORRECT
Home
75%
Draw
16%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
40%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.