How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Calahorra, at 72.7%. The other outcomes represent 27.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 72.7% · Draw: 16.9% · Away win: 10.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Calahorra 1625; Yagüe 1373. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 15:00
Calahorra
Elo 1625
5
-
0
Yagüe
Elo 1373
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+251
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Calahorra1625
Yagüe1373
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Calahorra
4Draws
0Yagüe
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
73% conf.
CORRECT
Home
73%
Draw
17%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
34%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.