How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Real Zaragoza II, at 68.6%. The other outcomes represent 31.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.6% · Draw: 19.8% · Away win: 11.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Real Zaragoza II 1591; Almudévar 1464. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:00
Real Zaragoza II
Elo 1591
4
-
0
Almudévar
Elo 1464
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+127
Elo rating comparison
Real Zaragoza II1591
Almudévar1464
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Real Zaragoza II
—Draws
—Almudévar
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
CORRECT
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
39%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.