How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ordino, at 64.1%. The other outcomes represent 35.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.1% · Draw: 20.8% · Away win: 15%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ordino 1616; Carroi 1494. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1a Divisió · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 16:00
Ordino
Elo 1616
3
-
2
Carroi
Elo 1494
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+122
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Ordino1616
Carroi1494
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Ordino
0Draws
0Carroi
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
CORRECT
Home
64%
Draw
21%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
35%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.