How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Atlético Albericia, at 68.6%. The other outcomes represent 31.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.6% · Draw: 17.6% · Away win: 13.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Atlético Albericia 1534; Atlético Mineros 1363. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 17:00
Atlético Albericia
Elo 1534
3
-
3
Atlético Mineros
Elo 1363
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+171
Elo rating comparison
Atlético Albericia1534
Atlético Mineros1363
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Atlético Albericia
—Draws
—Atlético Mineros
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
WRONG
Home
69%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
37%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.