How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Unión Adarve, at 42.8%. The other outcomes represent 57.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.1% · Draw: 22.2% · Away win: 42.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Parla Escuela 1495; Unión Adarve 1558. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 10:30
Parla Escuela
Elo 1495
1
-
1
Unión Adarve
Elo 1558
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-63
Elo rating comparison
Parla Escuela1495
Unión Adarve1558
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Parla Escuela
—Draws
—Unión Adarve
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
22%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
27%
Draw
38%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.