How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pozuelo Alarcón, at 38.0%. The other outcomes represent 62.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38% · Draw: 27.9% · Away win: 34%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pozuelo Alarcón 1502; Torrejón 1567. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 11:00
Pozuelo Alarcón
Elo 1502
1
-
0
Torrejón
Elo 1567
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-65
Elo rating comparison
Pozuelo Alarcón1502
Torrejón1567
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Pozuelo Alarcón
—Draws
—Torrejón
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
28%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
Draw
39%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.