How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cultural Leonesa II, at 60.4%. The other outcomes represent 39.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 60.4% · Draw: 27.1% · Away win: 12.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cultural Leonesa II 1546; Calasanz de Soria 1458. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 15:30
Cultural Leonesa II
Elo 1546
2
-
1
Calasanz de Soria
Elo 1458
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+88
Elo rating comparison
Cultural Leonesa II1546
Calasanz de Soria1458
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Cultural Leonesa II
—Draws
—Calasanz de Soria
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
60%
Draw
27%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
44%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.