How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Llosetense, at 36.2%. The other outcomes represent 63.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.5% · Draw: 29.2% · Away win: 36.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Alcúdia 1462; Llosetense 1592. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:00
Alcúdia
Elo 1462
2
-
0
Llosetense
Elo 1592
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-130
Elo rating comparison
Alcúdia1462
Llosetense1592
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Alcúdia
—Draws
—Llosetense
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
29%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
38%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.