How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Illescas, at 49.4%. The other outcomes represent 50.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.4% · Draw: 25.2% · Away win: 25.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Illescas 1506; Huracán Balazote 1406. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 11:00
Illescas
Elo 1506
0
-
1
Huracán Balazote
Elo 1406
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+99
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Illescas1506
Huracán Balazote1406
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Illescas
0Draws
2Huracán Balazote
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
44%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.