How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Nouadhibou, at 59.8%. The other outcomes represent 40.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.8% · Draw: 22.8% · Away win: 17.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nouadhibou 1804; San-Pédro 1687. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CAF Champions League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 17:00
Nouadhibou
Elo 1804
2
-
0
San-Pédro
Elo 1687
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+117
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Nouadhibou1804
San-Pédro1687
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Nouadhibou
0Draws
4San-Pédro
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
60%
Draw
23%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
39%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.