OFI vs PAOK

Super League 1 · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 · 18:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is PAOK, at 52.6%. The other outcomes represent 47.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 22.1% · Draw: 25.3% · Away win: 52.6%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: OFI 1902; PAOK 2070. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Super League 1 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026 · 18:00
OFI
Elo 1902
2 - 1
PAOK
Elo 2070
FT HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W 1D 4L
Away Form (5)
4W 0D 1L
Elo Advantage
-168
H2H (6)
0H 6D 0A

Elo rating comparison

OFI1902
PAOK2070

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0OFI
6Draws
0PAOK

6 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
53% conf. WRONG
Home
22%
@ 4.14
Draw
25%
@ 3.70
Away
53%
@ 1.82
Both Teams to Score
55% conf. CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.93
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf. CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf. CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf. WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
80% conf. WRONG
Yes
80%
@ 1.25
No
20%
Half-Time Result
45% conf. WRONG
Home
16%
@ 4.60
Draw
45%
@ 2.15
Away
39%
@ 2.47
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf. CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf. CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.47
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf. CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf. CORRECT
Yes
80%
@ 1.36
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf. CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 2.07
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf. CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf. CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.