How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Paduano, at 64.7%. The other outcomes represent 35.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17.7% · Draw: 17.5% · Away win: 64.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Búzios 1352; Paduano 1496. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Carioca B2 · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 18:00
Búzios
Elo 1352
2
-
0
Paduano
Elo 1496
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-144
Elo rating comparison
Búzios1352
Paduano1496
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Búzios
—Draws
—Paduano
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
WRONG
Home
18%
Draw
18%
Away
65%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
82%
No
18%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
18%
Draw
27%
Away
55%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
WRONG
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.