How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is 7 de Abril, at 38.7%. The other outcomes represent 61.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.2% · Draw: 26% · Away win: 38.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Rio de Janeiro 1317; 7 de Abril 1358. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Carioca B2 · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 18:00
Rio de Janeiro
Elo 1317
0
-
2
7 de Abril
Elo 1358
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-41
Elo rating comparison
Rio de Janeiro1317
7 de Abril1358
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Rio de Janeiro
—Draws
—7 de Abril
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
26%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
38%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.