How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Union St. Gilloise, at 75.1%. The other outcomes represent 24.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 75.1% · Draw: 16.1% · Away win: 8.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Union St. Gilloise 2198; Cercle Brugge 1791. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Jupiler Pro League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 18:15
Union St. Gilloise
Elo 2198
5
-
2
Cercle Brugge
Elo 1791
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+407
Elo rating comparison
Union St. Gilloise2198
Cercle Brugge1791
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Union St. Gilloise
—Draws
—Cercle Brugge
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
75% conf.
CORRECT
Home
75%
Draw
16%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Half-Time Result
60% conf.
WRONG
Home
60%
Draw
26%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.