How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Casa de Portugal, at 58.8%. The other outcomes represent 41.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 22.5% · Draw: 18.7% · Away win: 58.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sporting Escaldes 1261; Casa de Portugal 1516. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1a Divisió · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 18:30
Sporting Escaldes
Elo 1261
1
-
1
Casa de Portugal
Elo 1516
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-255
Elo rating comparison
Sporting Escaldes1261
Casa de Portugal1516
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sporting Escaldes
—Draws
—Casa de Portugal
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
19%
Away
59%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
33%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.