How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Robin Hood, at 64.6%. The other outcomes represent 35.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19.9% · Draw: 15.5% · Away win: 64.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Leo Victor 1727; Robin Hood 2004. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Eerste Divisie · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 19:30
Leo Victor
Elo 1727
2
-
0
Robin Hood
Elo 2004
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-278
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Leo Victor1727
Robin Hood2004
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Leo Victor
4Draws
0Robin Hood
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
WRONG
Home
20%
Draw
16%
Away
65%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
19%
Draw
38%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.