How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Forge, at 65.4%. The other outcomes represent 34.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 16.9% · Draw: 17.7% · Away win: 65.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pacific FC 1311; Forge 1682. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Canadian Premier League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 20:00
Pacific FC
Elo 1311
1
-
1
Forge
Elo 1682
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-371
H2H (7)
0H
0D
7A
Elo rating comparison
Pacific FC1311
Forge1682
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Pacific FC
0Draws
7Forge
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
WRONG
Home
17%
Draw
18%
Away
65%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
16%
Draw
43%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.