How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, at 47.4%. The other outcomes represent 52.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.4% · Draw: 25.9% · Away win: 26.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 1511; AD Carmelita 1452. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga de Ascenso · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 01:00
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Elo 1511
2
-
1
AD Carmelita
Elo 1452
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+60
H2H (5)
4H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC1511
AD Carmelita1452
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
0Draws
1AD Carmelita
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
37%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.